A recent United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska shows the Civic Coalition leading with 32.3% support, ahead of Law and Justice with 30.7%, in a potential parliamentary election.
Latest Poll Results
The Civic Coalition has taken the top spot with 32.3% support, a significant change from the previous poll where it trailed Law and Justice. Law and Justice has 30.7% support, an increase of 1.7 percentage points.
The Confederation comes in third with 13.8% support, an increase of 0.6 percentage points. The Left has 6.8% support, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points.
Other Parties’ Results
The Polish 2050 party has 1% support, a decrease of 2.4 percentage points. The Confederation of the Polish Crown, led by Grzegorz Braun, has 4.5% support, an increase of 1.4 percentage points.
The Polish People’s Party (PSL) has 3.8% support, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points, and Partia Razem has 1.2% support, a decrease of 2 percentage points.
Expert Analysis
Professor Antoni Dudek comments that both main parties, PiS and KO, have stable 30% support, and the real differences appear outside the top three, where parties are fighting to cross the electoral threshold.
Dudek notes that only the Left currently crosses this threshold, but other parties, such as Grzegorz Braun’s, sometimes do as well.
Potential Coalition and Conflict
A potential coalition between Law and Justice and the Confederation is discussed, with journalist Marta Rawicz suggesting that Jarosław Kaczyński’s recent rhetoric against the Confederation may be due to the party’s potential to help PiS gain power.
