In a October survey of Polish adult voters, 40% said they would vote for Karol Nawrocki and 30% for Rafał Trzaskowski had the presidential runoff occurred today.
Polling on a Hypothetical Second Round
The Opinia24 survey for Polityka asked respondents which candidate they would choose if a second round were held now. Forty percent selected Karol Nawrocki, 30 percent Rafał Trzaskowski, 19 percent said they would abstain, and 11 percent were undecided. PiS supporters again favored Nawrocki, but significant figures also came from Confederation, the Braun party, and one‑quarter of Polska 2050 voters supported Nawrocki.
Assessment of Nawrocki’s First 100 Days
The same poll evaluated the first 100 days of Nawrocki’s presidency: 32 % rated the performance as good, 21 % as very good, 15 % as bad, and 11 % as very bad. Twenty‑one percent had no opinion. Lower‑educated respondents from villages and small towns more frequently rated the presidency as very good, while the “good” group showed a more egalitarian mix: 35 % of those with primary/secondary education, 31 % with higher education, 34 % from rural areas, and 36 % from cities over 500,000 residents judged the president positively.
Trust in President Nawrocki, CBOS Survey
In a CBOS ranking conducted in mid‑October, 57 % of respondents trusted President Nawrocki, 26 % expressed distrust, 11 % were neutral, 5 % declined to answer, and 1 % claimed not to know him.
2025 Presidential Election Results
Polish Electoral Commission (PKW) data show that in the first round, Rafał Trzaskowski received 31.36 % of votes, while Nawrocki got 29.54 %. In the second round, PKW reported 50.89 % for Nawrocki and 49.11 % for Trzaskowski. Subsequently, ballot inspections at 250 polling commissions revealed that Nawrocki had lost 1,239 votes and Trzaskowski had gained 1,242 votes compared to official protocols, according to the National Prosecutor’s Office in July.