New Poll: Polish Voters Split on Confederation in Future Government

A recent SW Research poll found that 25.7% of respondents support including the Confederation in Poland’s next government, while 45% oppose, and 29.2% are undecided.

New poll: Polish voters split on Confederation in future government

A SW Research survey conducted online from September 30 to October 1 asked respondents whether they would like the Confederation to enter the next Polish government. 25.7% answered “yes”, 45% said “no”, and 29.2% had no opinion.

Among men, 30.6% supported Confederation’s entrance, whereas 21.5% of women were in favor.

The sample consisted of 800 adults over 18, selected through a random‑quota method and weighted to reflect the Polish population on key socio‑demographic factors.

Confederation a potential third force in the Sejm

United Surveys’ latest poll for Wp.pl reported that the Confederation received 14.7% of the vote, making it the third‑largest party behind the Civic Coalition (30%) and the Law and Justice party (28.5%).

Political scientist Dr Maciej Onasz projected that this level of support would translate into 79 seats for the Confederation, 182 for Law and Justice, 175 for the Civic Coalition, and 24 for the New Left.

On the basis of these numbers, the Confederation would play a decisive role in determining the composition of the next government.

Donald Tusk: No plan for an “exotic” coalition with Confederation

In early September, Prime Minister Donald Tusk was asked by journalists about the possibility of a coalition with the Confederation. He said he was not considering such a partnership and criticized the party’s very free‑market, sometimes radical, stance.

Tusk added that neither his own party nor Confederation seemed inclined to pursue an “exotic” coalition, and the idea was not part of his plans.

Jarosław Kaczyński: Coalition impossible without a complete change of views

Former PiS leader Jarosław Kaczyński warned that unless there is a “miraculous” turnaround of the Confederation’s ideology, a coalition would be unthinkable. He described the party as promoting “social Darwinism” and said it would not share enough common ground for cooperation.

Kaczyński further stated that any coalition would require at least some shared principles, which he did not see with Confederation.

Confederation MP Grzegorz Płaczek: Decision rests with voters

During a Polish Radio 24 interview, Płaczek said that whether the Confederation negotiates a coalition depends on the voters’ choice. He told listeners that the party aims to work on its program and to break the bi‑party dominance of the Civic Coalition and Law and Justice.

He added that the focus is on the present two‑year period and not on the 2027 elections.

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