Former NATO Secretary‑General Jens Stoltenberg claims that earlier, larger arms deliveries could have stopped Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Early 2014 Attempts
In the spring of 2014, when hostilities began in Donbas and Russia annexed Crimea, Stoltenberg urged NATO members to increase military aid to Ukraine. He says most allies simply blocked any such move, fearing provocation of Russia.
Ten Years Later
By late 2024, at the end of his second NATO term, allies finally agreed to a coordinated NATO operation that would support Ukraine’s defence. The decision came three years into the war.
Could We Have Stopped It?
Stoltenberg argues that had NATO supplied more weapons from the outset, it might have prevented Russia from occupying vast territories, possibly stopping the invasion altogether. He stresses that even a small earlier delivery could have altered the conflict’s trajectory.
Finnish Solution?
He cites Finland’s 1940 surrender of territory to the Soviet Union as a potential model: Ukraine could consider limited territorial concessions to safeguard its future security. He warns, however, that any decision must come from Ukraine itself.
Current Situation
Ukraine endured enormous suffering, ceding about 20% of its land, yet it has reclaimed roughly half of the territory it lost. Russia has lost control of the Black Sea and faces a heavy economic price.
Need for Continued Support
Stoltenberg says the support for Ukraine remains insufficient. While defeating Russia may end the war, it would not secure durable peace. Continued military aid is essential to keep Ukraine sovereign and independent.
