Donald Tusk declared he would win the 2027 election and urged the opposition to accept a 100‑zloty bet, prompting Professor Antoni Dudek to respond with his own challenge.
Tusk Satisfied with Survey Results
Donald Tusk posted on October 23 on X the results of a nationwide poll by the Research Group for the Stan360 portal regarding support for various political parties.
The poll showed the Civic Coalition receiving the highest score (38.12%), followed by PiS (29.81%), Confederation (15.5%), and the Polish Crown Confederation (6.02%).
“Thank you for the support. Thank you for the criticism. And this is not our last word,” the prime minister commented on the poll results.
He also referred to the poll a few days earlier during a visit to Brussels, saying he could “accept bets” about the upcoming elections.
“Not large amounts, but we will win the 2027 election and we will not hand power to Kaczyński, Święczkowski, Ziobro, or those charming, friendly gentlemen,” he declared.
Professor Dudek Responds to Tusk’s Proposal
In the program “Dudek on Politics,” Prof. Antoni Dudek responded to Donald Tusk’s remarks.
“Mr. Prime Minister, I propose a bet; I think a 100 zloty sum is appropriate and not inflated. I believe the Civic Coalition will not remain in power after 2027,” he said to the PO leader.
He added that he emphasizes the Civic Coalition will not stay in power because parties like PiS could win elections, have the largest caucus in the Sejm but do not govern.
He also admitted that he “hopes the prime minister will accept the bet.”
According to Prof. Dudka, the Civic Coalition has slim chances of staying in power because its current members are below the electoral threshold.
How Poles Decided Two Years Earlier
Recall that on 15 October 2023 the last parliamentary elections were held, in which the current governing coalition, consisting of representatives of the Civic Coalition, Poland 2050, the Polish People’s Party, and the Left, took power.
The turnout was 74.38% and was the highest in the history of elections in the Third Republic.
Five electoral committees won parliamentary seats: Law and Justice, Civic Coalition, Third Way PSL-Poland 2050, New Left, and Confederation Freedom and Independence.
According to the State Electoral Commission, 35.38% of votes went to PiS, but it did not secure the majority of seats needed to form a government.
Other parties also entered the Sejm: Civic Coalition – 30.70% of votes, Third Way PSL-Poland 2050 – 14.40, New Left – 8.61, and Confederation Freedom and Independence – 7.16.
