According to a recent IBRiS poll for Onet, PiS has fallen to its lowest support in years, with the Civic Coalition overtaking it as the most popular party.
Survey Results
If the parliamentary elections had been held last Sunday, the Civic Coalition would have gathered the most votes, according to the latest IBRiS poll for Onet. Donald Tusk’s party was chosen by 31.5 % of respondents. Law and Justice came in second with 27.6 %. Confederation followed with 14.1 %. The Sejm would also be represented by Confederation, Polish Crown (7.3 %) and the Left (7 %). Parties below the threshold were the Polish Peasant Party (3.9 %), Together Party (3.6 %) and Poland 2050 (0.7 %). 4.3 % of respondents said they did not know which party they would vote for.
The survey was conducted on 14‑15 November by telephone using computer‑assisted telephone interviewing (CATI) on a sample of 1.1 thousand adult Poles.
Political Scientist on PiS Problems
Polish political scientist Prof. Antoni Dudek described the Civic Coalition as having substantially weakened its allies and capturing their support. In PiS’s case, the effect is twice as strong. He said that PiS has an “army” of somewhat allied Confederation, which drains its reserves.
He added that Jarosław Kaczyński himself is a significant problem for PiS. “As long as a politician in his eighties heads PiS, no change will occur. President Kaczyński deters young right‑wing voters,” Dudek explained.
PiS Records Lowest Results in Years
The IBRiS survey corroborates the declining support for PiS. A few days earlier, “Super Express” published results from a Pollster Institute survey conducted on 15‑17 November, which gave PiS 28.86 %. In an earlier Pollster poll PiS had 29.9 %, and in September it was 32.9 %.
The trend noted by “Gazeta Wyborcza” shows the Civic Coalition gaining while PiS loses ground. Donald Tusk’s Civic Coalition received 32.5 % in the October Pollster survey and 31.1 % in September.
