CBOS poll released on December 8th puts Karol Nawrocki and Jarosław Kaczyński at the top of the trust rankings, but only one feels satisfied with the results.
Another Trust Survey
CBOS released a new public opinion poll covering 948 respondents between 27 November and 8 December, employing CAPI, CATI and CAWI methods. It compared the results with an earlier CBOS survey conducted a few weeks earlier to track changes in confidence towards Polish politicians.
Which Politician Instills the Greatest Trust?
Karol Nawrocki topped the rankings with 54 % of respondents expressing confidence, the same level reported a month earlier. Vice‑Prime Minister Władysław Kosiniak‑Kamysz and Vice‑Prime Minister Radosław Sikorski each received 45 %—a 1‑percentage‑point rise.
President of Warsaw Rafał Trzaskowski came in third with 42 %, down 3 points. Former Speaker Szymon Hołownia held 40 %, the only name that saw a 2‑point increase in trust.
Other notable standings were Premier Donald Tusk at 39 % (unchanged), Krzysztof Bosak 37 %, Sławomir Mentzen 35 %, Włodzimierz Czarzasty 32 %, Adrian Zandberg 31 %, former PM Mateusz Morawiecki 31 %, Tomasz Siemoniak 29 %, Małgorzata Kidawa‑Błońska 26 %, Agnieszka Dziemianowicz‑Bąk 26 %, and Katarzyna Pełczyńska‑Nałęcz together with Marcin Kierwiński each at 22 %.
Who Do We Trust Least?
The poll identified the most distrusted figures. Chairman Jarosław Kaczyński of the Law and Justice party ranked first with 58 % distrust, unchanged from earlier. Grzegorz Braun followed at 57 %, up 6 percentage points, and Mateusz Morawiecki at 52 %, unchanged.
Other leaders drew significant mistrust: Donald Tusk 49 %, Rafał Trzaskowski 40 %, Sławomir Mentzen 39 %, Szymon Hołownia 35 %, Karol Nawrocki 33 %, Krzysztof Bosak 32 %, Włodzimierz Czarzasty 32 %, Małgorzata Kidawa‑Błońska 32 %, Radosław Sikorski 31 %, Władysław Kosiniak‑Kamysz 27 %, Adrian Zandberg 24 %, Marcin Kierwiński 24 %, Tomasz Siemoniak 21 %, Katarzyna Pełczyńska‑Nałęcz 16 % and Agnieszka Dziemianowicz‑Bąk 13 %.
What Would Poles Vote for?
If parliamentary elections were held on 30 November, the CBOS‑IBRiS poll projected 30.4 % of voters choosing the Civic Coalition, 27.1 % for Law and Justice, 16.1 % for Confederation and 7.2 % for the Left.
Only Confederation of the Polish Crown (5.1 %) would cross the electoral threshold, while smaller parties—Party Together (3.9 %), Polish People’s Party (3.2 %) and Poland 2050 (1.7 %)—would remain below it. The survey also found 5.3 % undecided, 47.4 % certain to vote, 10.6 % probably yes, 12.8 % not voting, and a 58 % expected turnout. The study surveyed 1,075 respondents.
