A fresh United Surveys poll reveals a notable shift in voter support, narrowing the ruling coalition’s lead and exposing cracks in Poland’s former duopoly.
Who Aced the Highest Support
The United Surveys study, conducted between August 13 and 16 among 1,000 respondents, found the Civic Coalition securing 28.1% of the vote – a 2.3 percentage‑point rise from the previous poll held July 25‑27. The ruling Law and Justice party, once the leader, slipped to 27.4%, a 0.9‑point decline. In the Sejm, seats would be distributed as 174 for the Civic Coalition, 169 for Law and Justice, 99 for Confederation, and 18 for the Left, leaving no single party with an outright majority.
Sharp Decline for Grzegorz Braun’s Party
During the same period, Grzegorz Braun’s faction fell noticeably, while Confederation held steady at 17.3%, virtually unchanged from before. The Left captured 5.5% support, down 1.2 points, and smaller parties such as PSL and Together slipped by 0.1 and 0.5 points respectively. Polish 2050 and the National Crown League also saw declines of 1.5 and 2.3 points.
Professor Dudek: “Weakening Duopoly”
Political scientist Prof. Antoni Dudek remarked that the changes “are not remarkable” because a prolonged trend has kept the top two formations below 30% support. He noted that vacations and global events have reduced domestic political attention. Dudek argued that if the trend continues into the autumn, the KPO controversy has not caused the expected political upheaval.
Questions Surrounding KPO Funds
Last week doubts surfaced over the allocation of National Reconstruction Plan funds. Reports indicated that money earmarked for boosting the hospitality, restaurant, and gastronomy sectors was diverted by some firms toward yachts, saunas, and coffee machines. The Warsaw Regional Prosecution launched an investigation, later taken over by the European Prosecution. A comprehensive report on KPO spending is expected in September.
Source: Gazeta,
