Poland’s GDP reached 4% year-on-year growth in Q4 2025, marking the strongest quarterly performance in over three years.
Q4 2025 GDP Performance
According to GUS data, in Q4 2025, seasonally unadjusted real GDP increased by 4% compared to the same period of the previous year, compared to 3.8% in Q3. Seasonally adjusted real GDP increased by 1% compared to the previous quarter, compared to 0.9% in Q3, and was 3.6% higher than a year ago.
Economists’ Assessment
GUS confirmed today what was already known for two weeks – that GDP grew by 4% year-on-year. On a quarterly basis, GDP grew by 1% quarter-on-quarter, which confirms the good momentum with which the Polish economy is entering the new year. Economists from Pekao bank maintain their forecast that in 2026 Polish GDP will grow by 4%, with risks to the upside.
