US and Iran diplomats meet in Geneva as Trump considers limited military strike to pressure Tehran on nuclear program.
Geneva Talks as Last Chance to Avoid Conflict
Negotiators from the United States and Iran are set to meet on Thursday in Geneva. The talks are described as the last attempt to avoid a military conflict. Concurrently in Washington, analyses of possible military actions in case of diplomatic failure are underway. A preliminary, limited strike is being considered, which would demonstrate US determination and compel Tehran to concessions regarding nuclear weapons capabilities.
Trump Leaning Toward Limited Strike
Advisors have conveyed that Donald Trump has not yet made a final decision. However, he is leaning toward a rapid, targeted attack in the coming days. Its purpose would be to show Iranian authorities that the United States expects them to abandon the possibility of building an atomic bomb.
Potential Military Targets
Among the potential targets are the headquarters of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, nuclear installations, and facilities related to the ballistic missile program. The strike would be limited but symbolic—aimed at key elements of Iran’s security and deterrence infrastructure.
Possible Escalation to Larger Action
According to these sources, Trump has informed advisors that if preliminary actions do not result in Tehran’s concessions, a larger military attack could occur in several months. In such a scenario, the goal would be to overthrow Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. However, doubts have emerged in the administration whether a change of power in Tehran is achievable solely through air raids, without ground operations and without support from internal opposition forces.
Geneva Talks Critical for Future Situation
Thursday’s talks in Geneva are crucial for the further development of the situation. If they do not result in an agreement, the risk of direct military confrontation will significantly increase. The US administration signals that it does not want to allow a situation where Iran obtains the capability to produce nuclear weapons.
Alternative Diplomatic Proposal Considered
Simultaneously, behind the scenes, an alternative proposal is being considered. It entails a very limited uranium enrichment program that Iran could conduct exclusively for medical research and treatment purposes. Such a model would involve strict control and reduction of the program’s scale to a level that would prevent military use. However, it is not known whether either side would accept such a solution.
Dynamic Situation with Multiple Scenarios
The situation remains dynamic. On one hand, the last attempt at a diplomatic solution to the dispute over Iran’s nuclear program continues. On the other hand, concrete military options are being analyzed in Washington, including both limited warning strikes and a broader operation in the coming months.
