Donald Trump’s deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz expires Tuesday, with threats of strikes on Iranian infrastructure looming.
Trump’s Stark Warning
Former President Trump threatened that if Iran does not reopen the Strait of Hormuz, the US could destroy all Iranian bridges and power plants within four hours.
Trump posted on Truth Social, stating, “The entire civilization will die tonight and never be reborn. I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will.” He added that a “total and complete regime change” might lead to a positive outcome.
Expert Doubts Trump’s Understanding
Dr. Michał Piekarski stated, “Trump is not able to understand the relationship between his actions and their consequences.”
Piekarski suggested the post may be emotionally driven, implying Trump lacks comprehension of the repercussions of his actions.
Negotiations and Iranian Response
The Wall Street Journal reports ongoing talks with mediators regarding a ceasefire. In response to the US president’s threats, Iran has severed direct communication with the United States.
A Gazeta.pl source commented that Iran’s decision is understandable.
Potential US Actions in Iran
Predicting US actions is “extremely difficult” in this situation, according to Dr. Piekarski. A potential agreement could allow Trump to claim success.
Escalation, attacks on energy infrastructure, or even the use of nuclear weapons against Iran are all possibilities, he stated.
Military Defeat of Iran Deemed Impractical
A military defeat of Iran is “practically impossible,” especially in the short term. While inflicting damage to infrastructure is possible, a land invasion would be extremely challenging.
Such an invasion would require mobilizing nearly all US land forces and the federal National Guard, which is deemed unfeasible.
