Polish Confederates say they are watching Jacek Braun’s rising ‘pokemon’ faction with both concern and admiration as his Korona party surges toward 10% in polls.
Rise of the Korona Party
After Braun broke away from the Confederation early this year, his new Korona party began to climb steadily, capturing 6.3% of the vote in his first presidential run and gaining traction across the electorate.
The party’s average standing in the past month, according to ewybory.pl, sits at 7.3%, with recent polls showing a closer reach to 10%.
Confessional Split and Strategic Move
Confederates assert that parting with Braun was the right decision, asserting that any growth should not come under “people who bet on Grześ” and that this separation dates back three years.
During the parliamentary campaign, Braun and Janusz Korwin‑Mikke were sidelined by the Confederation, a move that some analysts view as an attempt to reduce moderate support.
Current Poll Performance
Opinion24 for Gazeta Wyborcza reported Korona at 9.6%, marking a 3.5‑percentage‑point rise. The Polish Group of Research (OGB) survey placed Korona at 9% with a 2.1‑point increase and CBOS at 8.5%, a slight decline.
The latest OGB poll shows Korona at 11.18% versus Confederation’s 10.67%, yet both parties remain above the 5% threshold needed for parliamentary representation.
Impact of Kaczyński’s Strategy
Some Confederates blame Jarosław Kaczyński’s campaign for their losses, claiming that Kaczyński’s attempt to portray the Confederation as collaborators with Tusk drove voters toward Braun.
According to an OGB analyst, half of Confederates were open to a “new party,” indicating a shift toward the newly formed faction around Braun.
Analysing Voter Migration
Research shows the strongest support for Braun comes from the 30‑39 age group, traditionally a Confederation stronghold. Analysts estimate Korona might peak at 15% if current trends continue.
The party’s surge is largely built on former Confederation voters, who, like PiS supporters, exhibit fatigue with mainstream politics.
Concerns Over Unconventional List Candidates
In 2023, media coverage highlighted the presence of “conspiracy‑theorist” candidates on Confederation lists, a factor blamed for electoral losses. Former party MP Dobromir Sośnierz described these as “pokemony.”
Confederates warn that similar candidates may appear under Braun’s lists, potentially repeating past mistakes.