Poland’s GDP grew 4% in Q4 2025, with private consumption up 4.2% and investments rising 4.7%, according to the Central Statistical Office.
GDP Growth Confirmed
The Polish Central Statistical Office (GUS) confirmed that the country’s gross domestic product was 4% higher in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the previous year. For the first time, GUS also revealed the structure of economic growth at the end of the previous year, with data not significantly differing from analysts’ estimates.
Consumption and Investment Performance
In the fourth quarter of 2025, GDP growth reached 4%. Private consumption also grew by 4.2%, while investments increased by 4.7%. According to ING Bank Ślą economists, GDP growth is expected to slow below 4% in the first quarter of 2026, but they still predict 3.7% growth for the entire year.
Risks to Economic Growth
Besides unfavorable weather in the first quarter, economists point to geopolitical risks: conflict in Iran, more expensive oil and gas. These factors not only lead to higher prices but also pose a negative shock to GDP in Europe.