An Opinia24 survey asked Polish voters whom they would choose in a hypothetical second presidential round, showing strong support for Karol Nawrocki and a surprising share of Poland 2050 supporters.
Opinia24 Poll: Vote Preferences
In the Opinia24 survey, respondents were asked whom they would vote for if a second round of presidential elections were held today. 40 percent would vote for Karol Nawrocki, 30 percent for Rafał Trzaskowski. 19 percent would not vote, and 11 percent had no opinion.
PiS voters again favored Nawrocki, but comparable support came from Confederation supporters and one in four Poland 2050 voters, according to the publication *Polityka*.
Assessment of Nawrocki’s First 100 Days
Participants were also asked to evaluate Nawrocki’s performance during his first 100 days in office. 32 percent rated it “good” and 21 percent “very good”; 15 percent judged it “bad” and 11 percent “very bad”. 21 percent had no opinion.
Higher ratings came from less‑educated groups and those from rural areas or smaller towns, particularly in the “very good” category. Among those rating “good”, 35 percent had primary or lower‑secondary education, 31 percent had higher education, 34 percent were from rural areas, and 36 percent from cities over 500 000 residents.
Trust Ranking by CBOS
In a late‑October CBOS trust ranking, 57 percent of respondents trusted president Karol Nawrocki, 26 percent expressed distrust, 11 percent were neutral, 5 percent gave no or partial answer, and 1 percent said they did not know him.
2025 Presidential Election Results
According to PKW data, in the first round of the 2025 presidential election Rafał Trzaskowski received 31.36 percent of the vote and Karol Nawrocki 29.54 percent.
In the second round, Nawrocki was supported by 50.89 percent of voters while Trzaskowski had 49.11 percent. After canvassing 250 election committees, the National Prosecutor’s Office reported that Nawrocki had 1,239 fewer votes and Trzaskowski 1,242 more than official canvassing protocols indicated.