Norway’s security services report the country faces its gravest threat environment since World War II, citing Russia, China, and Iran.
Norwegian Military Intelligence Issues Warning
On Friday (6 February), Norway’s security services published their annual National Threat Assessment, identifying Russia, China, and Iran as key threats. PST chief Beate Gangas stated Norway is currently in the most serious security situation since the end of WWII, emphasizing the ongoing war in Ukraine and Russia’s lack of clear prospects for ending it. She also noted intensified intelligence, sabotage, and influence operations below the threshold of open conflict.
Russia as the Primary Threat
Gangas identified Russia as the main source of threats to Norway. The report highlights that despite losses in the war, Moscow shows no willingness to change course and is developing long-term military plans targeting Northern Europe. Russia employs hybrid methods, sabotage, influence operations, and utilizes organized criminal groups as intermediaries. Key targets include critical infrastructure, the energy sector, and Norwegian support for Ukraine.
China and Iran Also Pose Threats
China is no longer seen only as a technological threat but as a state controlling significant global critical resources and key supply chains. Iran, according to the services, conducts intelligence operations affecting all of Scandinavia. In this context, the Arctic and High North are becoming central areas of great power competition. The report prioritizes protecting infrastructure, communication routes, and deterrence capabilities in the Arctic.
Ukraine: Reactions After Trilateral Talks in Abu Dhabi
Following trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi on Thursday (5 February), most Ukrainian commentators agree no breakthrough occurred, with Russia continuing to stall time. Both the US and Ukrainian delegations described the UAE talks as constructive but provided no details. Former Ukrainian diplomat Roman Bezsmertny noted this likely means no significant progress was made, suggesting Russia delays negotiations while Ukraine adopts Donald Trump’s rules of the game, allowing the US to maintain the narrative of imminent peace.
An expert predicts no peace agreement will be signed within the next six months. Ukrainian-American-Russian talks are set to continue. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated the negotiations could take place in the US soon.