{"id":9978,"date":"2026-07-08T08:14:28","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T08:14:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bizonews.com\/pl\/new-election-poll-confederation-gains-ground-amid-ukraine-tensions\/"},"modified":"2026-07-08T08:14:34","modified_gmt":"2026-07-08T08:14:34","slug":"new-election-poll-confederation-gains-ground-amid-ukraine-tensions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bizonews.com\/pl\/new-election-poll-confederation-gains-ground-amid-ukraine-tensions\/","title":{"rendered":"New Election Poll: Confederation Gains Ground Amid Ukraine Tensions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>An IBRiS survey conducted for Rzeczpospolita reveals the Civic Coalition leads with 29.1% support, while rising tensions over Ukraine are fueling a notable increase in polling numbers for the Confederation parties.  <\/p>\n<h4>Polling Trends and Party Shifts<\/h4>\n<p>The IBRiS poll, conducted July 2-3 among 1,073 respondents, places the Civic Coalition (KO) at 29.1%, down from 30.9% in late May. Law and Justice (PiS) follows with 23.2%, compared to 25.4% in the previous month.<\/p>\n<p>Confederation has reached 13.3%, while Confederation of the Polish Crown rose to 11%. The Left remains steady at 8.4%. Other parties, including the Polish People&#8217;s Party (3.9%), Razem (2.3%), and Poland 2050 (1%), currently fall below the electoral threshold.<\/p>\n<h4>Expert Analysis of Political Climate<\/h4>\n<p>Professor S\u0142awomir Sowi\u0144ski from Cardinal Stefan Wyszy\u0144ski University notes that while the Southern Hospital scandal has not significantly dented KO\u2019s support, rising diplomatic tensions with Ukraine have positively impacted the Confederation\u2019s standing.<\/p>\n<p>Sociologist Prof. Jaros\u0142aw Flis of Jagiellonian University observed that both KO and PiS are losing support within the margin of error, indicating that neither party possesses enough core support to govern alone.<\/p>\n<h4>Coalition Realities and Parliamentary Math<\/h4>\n<p>If elections were held today, projections suggest 168 seats for KO, 136 for PiS, 72 for Confederation, 54 for Confederation of the Polish Crown, and 30 for the Left. Currently, neither the governing bloc nor the opposition can secure a majority of 231 seats.<\/p>\n<h4>Confederation\u2019s Stance on Alliances<\/h4>\n<p>Krzysztof Bosak, a leader of the Confederation, stated that his party will compete independently in the upcoming parliamentary elections, rejecting a joint victory with PiS. However, he did not rule out a potential Senate pact with PiS to prevent a center-left majority.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An IBRiS survey conducted for Rzeczpospolita reveals the Civic Coalition leads with 29.1% support, while rising tensions over Ukraine are fueling a notable increase in polling numbers for the Confederation parties. Polling Trends and Party Shifts The IBRiS poll, conducted July 2-3 among 1,073 respondents, places the Civic Coalition (KO) at 29.1%, down from 30.9% [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"wpai_generated_summary":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[43],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9978","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics-and-law"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bizonews.com\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9978","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bizonews.com\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bizonews.com\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bizonews.com\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bizonews.com\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9978"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bizonews.com\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9978\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bizonews.com\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9978"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bizonews.com\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9978"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bizonews.com\/pl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9978"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}