A new poll reveals a significant surge in support for Poland leaving the EU, with experts describing the shift as “colossal changes” over seven years.
Poll Shows Rising Support for Polexit
A survey by the OGB pollster asked participants: “If a referendum on Poland leaving the EU were held next Sunday, how would you vote?” In February 2019, 89.9% favored staying, 6.7% supported Polexit, and 6.4% would not vote. By January this year, pro-EU support dropped to 67.5%, while Polexit support rose to 24.5%, with 8% abstaining.
“These are colossal changes; they cannot be attributed to statistical errors,” commented OGB head Łukasz Pawłowski.
Men More Skeptical of EU Membership
In 2019, similar percentages of women (87.3%) and men (86.5%) supported EU membership. Now, women are stronger supporters: 73% favor staying, 16.9% back Polexit. Among men, 62.1% support staying, while 31.9% support leaving.
PiS Voters Show Increased Euroscepticism
In 2019, 86.8% of PiS voters supported EU membership, with 9.6% opposed. Currently, pro-EU support among PiS voters stands at 46.4%, while opponents rose to 43.6%. Confederation voters are divided: 42.6% support EU membership, 47.3% oppose it. Civic Platform (KO) voters remain overwhelmingly pro-EU, with support rising slightly to 98%.
Sikorski: Poland Would Be Less Secure Outside EU
Deputy PM and Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski stated in November that the UK left the EU without obstacles “but not well.” He noted the UK economy was 6-8% smaller by early 2025 than without Brexit, foreign direct investment fell 20%, and exports to the EU dropped due to tariffs. Migration numbers remained unchanged, with newcomers now arriving from poorer regions. “Nearly a decade after Brexit, promised benefits still haven’t materialized,” he added.
Addressing right-wing politicians, Sikorski outlined consequences of Polish withdrawal: farmers would lose subsidies and EU market access; professionals like doctors, nurses, and IT workers would need diploma revalidation; musicians would require visas for EU performances; and businesses would face tariffs competing with EU producers, who supply 75% of Poland’s exports. He warned Poland would be poorer, less secure, isolated, and more vulnerable to invasion without EU funding for reconstruction, structural programs, and defense.