A recent IBRiS poll for Rzeczpospolita shows gains for left-wing parties and the ruling coalition following fuel price reductions and candidate announcements.
Poll Results Following Fuel Price Reduction
The IBRiS poll for “Rzeczpospolita” was conducted after PiS announced Przemysław Czarnek as their prime ministerial candidate and following the government of Donald Tusk’s fuel price cuts. “Rzeczpospolita” comments that the move with Przemysław Czarnek, intended to attract voters from Grzegorz Braun, and the CPN package are beginning to show effects.
Growing Support for the Left
The poll indicates improved results for the Left. All governing parties have seen a slight increase in support, with the Civic Coalition leading at 32.4% (a 2.3 percentage point increase from late February). The Left has reached 7.9% of the vote, a 1.1 percentage point increase.
Modest Gains for Other Governing Parties
PSL also improved its result (from 4.2% to 4.5% support), though it remains below the electoral threshold. Poland 2050 saw a rise from 1.5% in February to 1.8% currently, but researchers note this remains within the margin of error.
PiS Gains, Braun’s Party Loses Ground
In opposition, Law and Justice (PiS) is at 24.5% (a 2.4 percentage point increase compared to late February). Confederation is also on the podium with 13.4% support. However, Konfederacja Korony Polskiej lost 1.7 percentage points compared to February, falling to 7.5% and fifth place, below the Left. The Razem party saw a decrease from 3.4% to 2.9% support.
Voter Turnout and Undecided Voters
According to the IBRiS poll, if parliamentary elections were held this Sunday, 53.7% of respondents would participate (43.6% “definitely yes”), while 41.8% would not (25.6% “definitely not”). 4.5% of respondents indicated they “don’t know/it’s hard to say.” The study was conducted using CATI (computer-assisted telephone interviews) on a national sample of 1067 respondents.
Factors Influencing Voting Decisions
A separate survey conducted by the publication revealed that one factor stands out as the most influential in voters’ decisions.
Major Threats to Poland’s Stability
CBOS asked respondents which problems they consider the greatest threat to Poland’s stability in the next five years. 46% indicated political dispute and social polarization as one of the two biggest threats. The international situation and security ranked second. Other responses also proved surprising.