Diplomatic efforts stall as US and Israel prepare for possible large-scale military operation against Iran, with a Trump advisor warning of “90% chance” of action within weeks.
Military Preparations Intensify
Despite ongoing diplomatic talks, lack of progress on Iran’s nuclear program and President Trump’s hardline stance suggest growing conflict risk in the Middle East. The US has significantly increased military presence in the region, deploying two aircraft carriers, dozens of warships, hundreds of fighter jets, and extensive equipment in preparation for a potential large-scale operation.
Axios: Wide-Ranging Operation Planned
According to Axios, a US decision to attack Iran would differ significantly from past actions like Venezuela. Instead, a scenario involving a broad, prolonged campaign is being considered, potentially posing a serious threat to the Iranian regime. Such a war would dramatically impact the region and have significant consequences for the remainder of Trump’s presidency.
Israel is also preparing for a potential attack, reportedly favoring a more radical approach aimed not only at regime change but at the complete destruction of Iran’s nuclear and missile capabilities. Two Israeli officials indicated they expect operations to begin within days, though others suggest the US may need weeks.
Geneva Talks Yield Mixed Signals
Iranian-American talks in Geneva yielded differing assessments. Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi described positive progress and agreement on key issues without specifics, stating significant advances were made while no new meeting date was set. Both sides agreed to work on a draft agreement text for future exchange.
US Vice President J.D. Vance contradicted this assessment on Fox News, stating Iran did not accept key US demands regarding its nuclear program. Vance indicated Washington gave Tehran a two-week deadline to narrow differences and suggested diplomacy might “reach its natural end” despite Trump’s desire for a deal.
