A new SW Research poll, commissioned by Onet, asks Poles who should lead the Law and Justice party before the 2027 parliamentary elections, with Jarosław Kaczyński topping the list at 11.9%.
Poll: Poles Pick PiS Leader
A SW Research survey, ordered by Onet, queried which figure should serve as the Law and Justice (PiS) face ahead of the 2027 elections. Jarosław Kaczyński emerged with 11.9% of the vote, followed by former Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki at 10.7% and Przemysław Czarnek at 8.4%. Mariusz Błaszczak lagged with 6.4%. Nearly a quarter, 23.8%, preferred a different candidate, while 38.8% found it difficult to decide.
Internal Factional Dispute within PiS
Within PiS, tension exists between factions led by Mateusz Morawiecki and those supporting Tobiasz Bocheński. The latter group includes Przemysław Czarnek, Patryk Jaki, and Jacek Sasin. Together they convened to draft a new party program for the upcoming elections, advocating a sharper rightward shift and more radical policies. Morawiecki’s camp, in contrast, pushes for a return to centrist positions.
CBOS Poll Shows Civic Coalition Ahead of PiS
The CBOS survey released on December 5 recorded the Civic Coalition at 30.3% of respondents backing Donald Tusk, a 1.5‑point rise from the previous month. PiS maintained 20.7% support, unchanged from earlier data, while Confederation slipped to 12.5% (down 0.8 points). Tusk remarked that Civic Coalition’s lead over PiS had exceeded ten points even before the party’s crypto proposal.
SW Research Methodology
The poll was carried out on December 2–3, 2025, using CAWI (Computer Assisted Web Interviewing) on the SW Panel. A total of 828 questionnaires were administered to a nationally representative adult sample, quota‑balanced for gender, age, and city size. The sample was weighted to reflect the overall demographic composition of Poland.