A new poll indicates that 26.8% of Polish voters would consider supporting a new political initiative led by former Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki.
Morawiecki’s Potential Support Base
A UCE Research poll commissioned by Onet asked respondents if they would support a new political initiative by Mateusz Morawiecki, such as one based on his association. Respondents were assured this was not a vote for a potential party led by the former prime minister.
Overall, 26.8% of respondents said they would not exclude supporting a party led by Morawiecki, while 49.5% were opposed, and 23.7% were undecided.
PiS Voter Sentiment
Among PiS voters, 56.6% expressed a positive opinion towards a potential Morawiecki party, while 21.1% said they would not support it.
Support Among Opposition Voters
Within the Civic Coalition electorate, only 11.3% indicated they would “definitely” or “probably” support Morawiecki’s party, while 74.5% were opposed. Similar sentiment was found among Left voters.
Supporters of the Razem party were particularly critical, with 88% opposed and only 8% in favor.
Konfederacja and Poland 2050 Views
Supporters of Konfederacja were more receptive, with 29.9% potentially supporting Morawiecki’s initiative, while 51% were opposed. For Konfederacja Korony Polskiej, 26.4% had a positive view, and 60.3% a negative one.
Voters for Poland 2050 and the Centrum club appeared more open, with 31.2% and 50% respectively considering support, while 43.7% and 33.3% were opposed. PSL voters showed 29.5% positive and 58.8% negative sentiment.
Undecided Voters
Among undecided voters, 55.9% chose “don’t know/hard to say,” while 6.8% might consider supporting Morawiecki’s party, and 37.2% were opposed.
Poll Results and Parliamentary Threshold
Recent polls by United Surveys for IBRiS, commissioned by Wirtualna Polska, show the Civic Coalition leading with 32.1%, followed by PiS at 20.3%, and Konfederacja at 13.2%.
Morawiecki’s potential “Rozwój Plus” (Development Plus) party garnered 5.1% of the vote, just above the electoral threshold, potentially securing a few seats in the Sejm.
Rozwój Plus and Internal PiS Disputes
In mid-April, Morawiecki announced the establishment of the Rozwój Plus association, which has reportedly attracted dozens of PiS parliamentarians. The initiative has sparked debate within PiS and accusations that Morawiecki aims to divide the party.
Jarosław Kaczyński stated that those involved in the association would not be included on PiS electoral lists, citing the party’s statutes prohibiting membership in other political organizations.
Kaczyński and Morawiecki Agreement
Following a seven-hour meeting between Kaczyński, Morawiecki, and Adam Bielan, a joint statement was released, indicating a “compromise” where the association’s activities would be conducted “within the party.”
Kaczyński announced the creation of an Expert Council, including members of the association, but clarified that the association would not be dissolved. He also mentioned ongoing efforts to address the issue of multiple associations within the party.
PiS’s “Two Lungs” Strategy
Kaczyński stated that the agreement would give PiS “two lungs,” with one focused on appealing to Konfederacja and more “radical” voters – represented by Prime Minister candidate Przemysław Czarnak – and the other on attracting those seeking an effective and stable government, a role Morawiecki would fulfill.
