Bad News for Tusk’s Government: New Polls Reveal Deep Divisions Over Coalition Rule

A new United Surveys poll shows mixed public sentiment regarding Donald Tusk’s government, while a separate Opinia24 survey outlines shifting voter support and projected parliamentary seat distributions.

Public Assessment of the Tusk Government

35.9 percent of respondents rate the current government positively, and 6.1 percent have no opinion on the matter. 36.2 percent of respondents answered that they rate the coalition’s rule in a strongly negative way. 21.8 percent perceive them rather negatively.

Poles evaluated Tusk’s government. Only 3.5 percent of those surveyed spoke very positively about Donald Tusk’s rule, and 32.4 percent rate it rather positively.

Voter Attitudes Within the Ruling Camp and Opposition

The survey also indicated that supporters of the ruling coalition more frequently speak positively about the current government (81 percent in total). 11 percent of respondents from this group answered that they rate it in a strongly positive way, and 70 percent rather positively.

A different opinion is held by 8 percent of the ruling camp’s voters, of whom 5 percent rate the previous rule rather negatively, 3 percent in a strongly negative way, and 11 percent have no opinion.

95 percent of opposition voters hold a negative opinion about the government. As many as 95 percent of opposition respondents (PiS, Partia Razem, Konfederacja, and Konfederacja Korony Polskiej) rate the coalition’s rule under Donald Tusk negatively, of whom 71 percent indicated that their assessment is strongly negative, and 24 percent perceive them rather negatively. Rather positively about this rule spoke 3 percent of declared opposition supporters, and 2 percent of respondents from this group had no opinion.

Sentiments Among Other Voters

Among remaining voters, a negative feeling dominates towards the coalition’s rule so far (62 percent in total). Rather negatively – 39 percent of surveyed individuals spoke about them, and 23 percent assessed them in a strongly negative way.

None of the remaining voters rate the authorities in a strongly positive way. 32 percent of them chose the option “rather positively”.

The poll was carried out by United Surveys commissioned by Wirtualna Polska on July 24-25, 2026, using the mix-mode online and telephone standardized computer-assisted questionnaire interview method (CAWI/CATI), on a representative, nationwide sample of 1000 people.

Opinia24 Poll on Party Support

In the poll conducted on August 3-5 by the Opinia24 research studio, the leader remains Koalicja Obywatelska, which was supported by 30.3 percent of respondents (a decrease of 1 percentage point). Right behind it was Prawo i Sprawiedliwość with a score of 17.2 percent (a decrease of 5.6). Konfederacja would be voted for by 15.3 percent of respondents (an increase of 1.9).

Konfederacja Korony Polskiej (9 percent), Lewica (7 percent), and Rozwój Plus of Mateusz Morawiecki (5.3 percent) would also enter the Sejm. Below the electoral threshold were Razem, Polska 2050, and PSL. Undecided voters constitute 7.6 percent.

Projected Sejm Seat Distribution

Calculations by political scientist Dr. Maciej Onasz from the University of Lodz show that with such a distribution of support, KO would introduce 186 MPs to the Sejm, PiS – 104, Konfederacja – 84, Konfederacja Korony Polskiej of Grzegorz Braun – 48, Nowa Lewica – 26, and Rozwój Plus of Mateusz Morawiecki – 12.

For comparison, after the 2023 elections, Prawo i Sprawiedliwość introduced 194 MPs to the Sejm, KO – 157, Trzecia Droga (PSL and Polska 2050) – 65, Lewica – 26, and Konfederacja – 18.