PSL and Polska 2050 Struggle as Polls Cast Doubt on Unified Coalition List

A new SW Research poll indicates that a single electoral list comprising the current Polish ruling coalition lacks majority support, as smaller coalition partners face declining popularity ahead of upcoming elections.

The viability of a joint electoral list

More than a year before the parliamentary elections, the future of the ruling coalition remains a subject of intense debate. A recent SW Research poll for Rzeczpospolita reveals that a joint electoral list—combining Civic Coalition, Polska 2050, PSL, and the Left—may not offer a political advantage.

When asked if they would support a single list for these parties, 39.8 percent of respondents said yes, while 42.8 percent opposed the idea. Another 17.4 percent remained undecided, showing that opponents currently outnumber supporters.

Challenges for PSL and Polska 2050

The discussion on a joint list arises from the declining poll numbers of coalition partners, specifically PSL and Polska 2050. A recent Opinia24 study placed both parties below the electoral threshold, with PSL at 2.7 percent and Polska 2050 at 1.8 percent.

Should these numbers hold in a general election, both parties would fail to secure seats in the Sejm. Consequently, some politicians and commentators have suggested a joint list as a strategy to prevent wasted votes and preserve the parliamentary majority.

Significant decline compared to 2023

The SW Research findings suggest that merging these political entities does not guarantee increased support. The current projected support for such a coalition is significantly lower than the 53.71 percent of the vote the ruling parties collectively achieved during the 2023 parliamentary elections.

The 2023 results translated into 248 mandates, securing a majority. Comparing that victory to the current 39.8 percent support level highlights the significant hurdle facing the coalition as they approach strategic election decisions.

Strategic risks for the ruling camp

Supporters of a unified list argue it would minimize the risk of losing votes to smaller parties. However, critics point out that combining diverse political factions could alienate voters, leading them to either abstain from voting or seek alternatives outside the current ruling camp.

The latest data confirms that creating a single list is no guarantee of success, forcing coalition leaders to find alternative methods to rebuild support before the campaign begins.

Methodology and research scope

The poll for Rzeczpospolita was conducted by SW Research from June 9 to 10, 2026, using an online panel. The study surveyed 800 people over the age of 18, with a quota-based random sample designed to ensure representativeness for the Polish internet-using population.