Poll Reveals Overwhelming Public Perception of President Nawrocki Favoring PiS and Confederation

A recent survey shows a vast majority of Poles believe President Karol Nawrocki favors Jarosław Kaczyński’s party and Sławomir Mentzen’s Confederation, underscoring deep political polarization.

Poll Findings on Presidential Partiality

Nawrocki favors PiS and Confederation? Poll results leave no room for doubt. A survey conducted on August 7-8 among a sample of 1,022 adult Poles shows that 76 percent of respondents are convinced that Karol Nawrocki favors Jarosław Kaczyński’s party, while only 24 percent hold the opposite view. The question regarding Confederation yields a similar result regarding the head of state’s neutrality: 62 percent of respondents claim the president’s actions strengthen Sławomir Mentzen’s formation, and only 38 percent disagree.

Roots of the Conflict Between Palace and Government

Where does this perception of Nawrocki come from? Tensions between the Presidential Palace and the government have stretched practically from the first weeks of Nawrocki’s presidency, who took office a year ago on August 6, 2025. The president regularly resorts to vetoes against laws passed by the ruling majority, halts general nominations, and blocks high-ranking state positions.

Constitutional Tribunal and Legislative Clashes

The situation around the Constitutional Tribunal became particularly inflamed. After the Sejm elected six new Constitutional Tribunal judges in March 2026, Nawrocki accepted the oath of office from only some of them, citing reservations about the election procedure. Some judges, having received no response from the president, decided to take the oath independently in the Sejm in April without his participation, further deepening the jurisdictional dispute between the head of state and the parliamentary majority. Only at the end of July did the president agree to take the oath from another of the judges chosen by the Sejm.

The president regularly exercises his veto power—having vetoed at least a dozen laws since the beginning of his term, which the coalition interprets as systematic torpedoing of its program. At the same time, the Chancellery of the President has begun submitting its own draft bills to the Sejm—often from areas traditionally reserved for the government, such as family policy or foreign affairs—which coalition politicians interpret as an attempt to seize legislative initiative and build a personal political base ahead of future elections.

Nawrocki as Leader of the Right Ahead of 2027 Elections

Nawrocki leader of the right before the 2027 elections? In the background, the game for the parliamentary elections scheduled for autumn 2027 is also underway. As “Wyborcza” described, Nawrocki is increasingly openly positioning himself as the leader of the entire right-wing camp, and Jarosław Kaczyński reportedly asked him directly to unite that side of the political scene ahead of the upcoming campaign. On August 15, during a speech at the military parade for Armed Forces Day, the president announced he would ensure that the current government’s “good projects do not get lost in political rivalry” after the next elections—which the daily interprets as an open announcement that he plans to oust Donald Kazan from power.

Coalition Calculations and Nationalist Bloc Strength

On the ruling coalition’s side, considerations are underway regarding running in the elections from a single joint democratic list—such a variant was reportedly signaled by the prime minister during a recent meeting of coalition party leaders as a response to potential right-wing unification. Calculations cited by “Wyborcza” show that currently the nationalist bloc—comprising PiS, Confederation, Confederation of the Polish Crown, and Rozwój Plus—has a higher combined support than the parties of the October 15 Coalition. The political scene on both sides is additionally fragmenting, with Poland 2050 splitting into two factions, and Mateusz Morawiecki creating his own grouping, Rozwój Plus, after being expelled from PiS.