Bad News for PiS and Przemysław Czarnek: Poles Deliver Their Verdict in Two Polls

Two new opinion polls reveal overwhelmingly negative ratings for Przemysław Czarnek as potential prime minister and record low public support for PiS since the 2023 elections.

Czarnek as Prime Minister Faces Heavy Criticism

A poll conducted by the Nationwide Research Group (OGB) shows that a potential takeover of the head of government role by Przemysław Czarnek is negatively evaluated by a total of 62.78 percent of respondents. As many as 49.98 percent of those asked about this issue indicated the answer “very bad,” and 12.8 percent “rather bad.”

Significantly fewer respondents evaluated such a prospect positively: 11.68 percent chose the answer “rather good,” and 9.12 percent “very good.” A total of 16.42 percent of respondents had no opinion on Czarnek taking over the office of prime minister.

The study was carried out by the Nationwide Research Group between August 5 and 12, 2026, using the CATI method on a group of 1,000 people.

Reports on Candidate Changes and Kaczyński’s Denials

The poll results appear against the background of reports by “Rzeczpospolita,” according to which a decision had already been made within PiS to withdraw Czarnek’s candidacy for the role of prime minister. As potential successors, the newspaper mentioned the Head of the Chancellery of the President, Zbigniew Bogucki, and MEP Tobiasz Bocheński. However, these information were denied by PiS leader Jarosław Kaczyński himself, ensuring that nothing is changing in this matter.

CBOS Poll and the Lowest Support for PiS Since 2023

In turn, the latest CBOS poll shows that if the elections were held in August, the Civic Coalition would be voted for by 25.8 percent of respondents (0.7 percentage points more than in July). CBOS notes that the result is “only minimally better” than in July, but points to “a halt to the process of weakening public support for the main ruling coalition force that has been ongoing since May.”

In turn, PiS would be voted for by 16.5 percent (a drop of 2.6 percentage points compared to the previous month’s study). CBOS emphasizes that this is the lowest support for PiS since the 2023 parliamentary elections, and links the drop in the party’s ratings to the “split in Law and Justice.”

Support for Other Political Parties

According to the poll, Confederation can count on the support of 13 percent of respondents – a result worse by 2.2 percentage points compared to July. Meanwhile, support for the Confederation of the Polish Crown amounted to 8.2 percent in the August poll – the same as in July.

The study shows that the remaining parties would not exceed the 5-percent electoral threshold. Among them, the highest support according to CBOS would be obtained by the Razem party – 4.4 percent (an increase of 0.3 percentage points). Voting for the New Left was declared by 3.8 percent of respondents (a drop of 1.5 percentage points).

For the first time, the compilation included Rozwój Plus – the grouping of Mateusz Morawiecki, which announces the creation of a political formation in October. In the August CBOS poll, support for Rozwój Plus was declared by 3.6 percent of respondents. According to CBOS, “perhaps some people do not yet identify this grouping with the former prime minister and his environment.”

Polska 2050 RP (until March Szymon Hołownia’s Polska2050) obtained 3.4 percent support (an increase of 2.3 percentage points), the Polish Peasant Party – 2.4 percent (a drop of 1.2 percentage points), and the Centre Union (in July it was Centrum Polska) – 0.2 percent (an increase of 0.1 percentage points). Other parties were indicated by 0.3 percent of respondents declaring participation in the elections.

Undecided Voters and Research Methodology

The study shows that 15.9 percent of voters are undecided about who they will cast their vote for (0.2 percentage points more than in July, and an increase in the percentage of undecided by over 5 percentage points since April). 2.5 percent of respondents refused to disclose their electoral preferences (an increase of 0.3 percentage points since July).

The CBOS poll was carried out between August 17 and 20 using the method of computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI – 80 percent) and internet interviews (CAWI – 20 percent) on a sample of one thousand adult residents of Poland.