Morawiecki Enters Parliament as PiS Plummets in New Poll

A recent IBRiS poll reveals Civic Coalition leading with 27.5 percent, while Mateusz Morawiecki’s emerging movement secures parliamentary seats as Law and Justice support drops significantly.

Poll Results Show Civic Coalition in the Lead

In the latest IBRiS poll conducted for Polsat News, 27.5 percent of respondents declared their willingness to vote for the Civic Coalition. Law and Justice took second place with 16.9 percent, while Confederation came in third with 14.4 percent.

Had the parliamentary elections taken place in the middle of the holiday season, Grzegorz Braun’s Confederation of the Polish Crown would have also introduced MPs to the Sejm with 9.4 percent. Meanwhile, 7.8 percent of respondents indicated they would vote for Mateusz Morawiecki’s Development Plus formation. This initiative currently exists as an association and a parliamentary club, and the party has not yet been registered.

Development Plus Clears Electoral Threshold

The poll shows Development Plus clearing the electoral threshold. Slightly lower support of 7.6 percent was recorded for New Left. Falling below the 5-percent electoral threshold were PSL at 4 percent, Razem Party at 2.3 percent, and Poland 2050 at 1.4 percent, with undecided voters accounting for 8.8 percent.

The IBRiS research clearly indicates that Mateusz Morawiecki’s voters are primarily former supporters of Law and Justice. In the previous poll conducted at the end of June, PiS enjoyed support at 24.1 percent, which is over 7 percentage points higher than currently recorded now that the former head of government’s new grouping is factored in.

The latest IBRiS study for Polsat News was carried out using computer-assisted telephone standardized interviews on a sample of one thousand people between July 29 and August 2.

Development Plus Convention and PiS Disintegration

Former Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki announced the convention of his Development Plus association for October 15. Last Friday, a festival of ideas took place in Warsaw. As the former PiS politician emphasized in a Sunday post on platform X, Friday’s event, referred to as Morawiecki’s barbecue, is only the beginning of a great march through Poland for truth, hope, an ambitious program, and future victory.

Among the goals of his environment, he mentioned stopping uncontrolled immigration, conducting economic policy in line with the Polish national interest, competing effectively with global powers China and the United States, as well as ensuring the competitiveness of Polish companies and decent wages for employees. He also pointed out that his association is based on patriotism and Christian values.

In July, PiS parliamentarians received an ultimatum from the party leadership: either they sign a declaration of non-affiliation with associations conducting political activities, including Development Plus, or they will be excluded from the party.

Although party leader Jarosław Kaczyński stated that the group of politicians who failed to submit the declaration resigned from party membership knowing the consequences of not signing it, they were not formally expelled from PiS. Instead, the matter was referred to party discipline spokesman Karol Karski for individual review. Politicians associated with Development Plus have established a separate parliamentary club, which currently numbers 40 MPs.