A new IBRiS poll shows the Civic Coalition in the lead, but the Confederation party is gaining significant support, particularly among young voters.
Five Parties Above the Electoral Threshold
The latest IBRiS poll for Polsat News indicates that five political formations would secure representation in the Sejm if elections were held today.
Current Governing Coalition Faces Challenges
The Polish People’s Party (PSL) at 4.2% and Poland 2050 at 1.2% would fall below the parliamentary threshold, as would the Razem party with 3.1% support.
Civic Coalition Strong with Seniors and City Dwellers
The Civic Coalition, led by Donald Tusk, draws its strongest support from older voters and residents of major cities. It enjoys over 45% support among those over 70 and 40-49 year olds, but only 12.7% among 18-29 year olds.
Generational Shift to the Right: Young Voters Favor Confederation
Among the youngest voters, the political landscape shifts towards the Confederation party.
Law and Justice Dominates Among 60+ Demographic
The main opposition party, Law and Justice (PiS), maintains a loyal electorate among seniors (37% in the 60+ age group) and those with vocational education (over 44%). Support among those under 30 is only 7%.
Poll Details
The IBRiS poll for Polsat News was conducted between April 8-13, 2026, using the CATI method. Declared voter turnout is 62.7%, with 5.3% of respondents undecided.
